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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
39.69% ( 0.75) | 27.02% ( 0.1) | 33.29% ( -0.85) |
Both teams to score 50.5% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.27% ( -0.54) | 54.73% ( 0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.95% ( -0.45) | 76.05% ( 0.45) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.03% ( 0.17) | 26.97% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.68% ( 0.22) | 62.32% ( -0.22) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.15% ( -0.82) | 30.85% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.87% ( -0.98) | 67.13% ( 0.98) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 39.69% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 42 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 24 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
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