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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
35.05% ( -0) | 24.57% ( -0) | 40.37% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 59.06% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.12% ( 0) | 43.88% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.73% | 66.26% |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.48% ( -0) | 24.52% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.01% ( -0) | 58.99% ( 0) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.25% ( 0) | 21.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.07% ( 0) | 54.93% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
2-1 @ 8.04% 1-0 @ 7.5% 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.05% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 8.72% 0-1 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.44% 0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.12% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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