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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 1-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
60.65% ( 0.07) | 21.13% ( -0.01) | 18.21% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.7% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.78% ( -0.02) | 42.22% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.37% ( -0.02) | 64.63% ( 0.02) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.52% ( 0.01) | 13.48% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.51% ( 0.03) | 40.49% ( -0.02) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.22% ( -0.06) | 36.78% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.43% ( -0.07) | 73.57% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 60.65% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.13% | 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.96% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 18.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |