Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
53.46% ( 0.01) | 24.18% ( -0.01) | 22.35% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.4% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.18% ( 0.02) | 49.81% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.18% ( 0.01) | 71.81% ( -0.01) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.43% ( 0.01) | 18.56% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.17% ( 0.02) | 49.82% ( -0.02) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.12% ( 0) | 36.87% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.33% ( 0) | 73.66% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.46% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.74% Total : 22.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |