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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Salford City |
35.66% ( 0.22) | 25.8% ( -0.04) | 38.54% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 54.86% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.65% ( 0.18) | 49.34% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.6% ( 0.16) | 71.39% ( -0.17) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.26% ( 0.21) | 26.74% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.99% ( 0.28) | 62.01% ( -0.28) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.88% ( -0.02) | 25.12% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.18% ( -0.02) | 59.82% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Salford City |
1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.14% Total : 35.66% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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