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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Salford City |
39.29% ( 0.41) | 24.55% ( -0.15) | 36.17% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 59.33% ( 0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.39% ( 0.7) | 43.61% ( -0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34% ( 0.68) | 66% ( -0.68) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.84% ( 0.51) | 22.16% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.44% ( 0.76) | 55.56% ( -0.76) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.22% ( 0.19) | 23.78% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.06% ( 0.27) | 57.94% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Salford City |
2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 39.29% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 36.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 58 |
2 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 47 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 47 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
7 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
8 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Chesterfield | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Bromley | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 35 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
16 | Swindon TownSwindon | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Gillingham | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 29 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |