Exeter

4 - 1

Bristol Rovers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.