Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.