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Exeter City
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Stevenage

Exeter
2 - 1
Stevenage

Stubbs (28', 44')
Key (69'), Sweeney (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Norris (38')
Cuthbert (18'), Barry (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 4-2 Salford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Exeter City 2-0 Stevenage

Despite potentially receiving a new manager 'bounce' in Evans's first game in charge here, the visitors arrive at St James Park on the back of a poor winless streak and a challenging week following their COVID-19 outbreak. Factoring all of this in with Exeter's strong run of form and an excellent record over their visitors, all the signs are pointing towards a comfortable home win here to see the hosts strengthen their hold on an automatic promotion spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 15.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
61.83%22.24%15.93%
Both teams to score 46.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.26%50.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36%72.64%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.08%15.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.83%45.16%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34%44.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34%80.66%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 61.82%
    Stevenage 15.93%
    Draw 22.24%
Exeter CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 13.06%
2-0 @ 12%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 7.35%
3-1 @ 5.93%
4-0 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 2.39%
5-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.1%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 61.82%
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 3.9%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 22.24%
0-1 @ 5.73%
1-2 @ 4.24%
0-2 @ 2.31%
1-3 @ 1.14%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 15.93%

How you voted: Exeter vs Stevenage

Exeter City
96.3%
Draw
3.7%
Stevenage
0.0%
27
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Stevenage
2-2
Exeter
List (23', 59')
Taylor (57'), Cuthbert (66')
Nombe (10'), Jay (50')
Sweeney (29'), Hartridge (44'), Ray (47'), Atangana (84')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Jan 23, 2021 1pm
Exeter
3-1
Stevenage
Collins (10'), Jay (79'), Bowman (85')
List (81')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Exeter
2-1
Stevenage
Williams (36'), Jay (81')
Kemp (79')
Digby (42'), Parrett (69'), Dabo (83'), Reading (90')
Jan 21, 2020 7pm
Exeter
3-0
Stevenage
Ajose (25'), Jay (30', 48')
Randall (15')

Lakin (8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham9612123919
2Notts County9531178918
3Walsall96031710718
4BarrowBarrow9513116516
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster95131212016
6Fleetwood TownFleetwood8431169715
7Port Vale94321412215
8Grimsby Town95041314-115
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Chesterfield9342158713
11AFC Wimbledon641194513
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
13Bradford CityBradford93331110112
14MK Dons93241211111
15Colchester UnitedColchester92431315-210
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham93151114-310
17Tranmere RoversTranmere824248-410
18Harrogate TownHarrogate9315916-710
19Bromley92341214-29
20Salford City823359-49
21Swindon TownSwindon9144913-47
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle92071019-96
23Morecambe9045712-54
24Accrington StanleyAccrington8035918-93


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