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Exeter City
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Crawley Town

Exeter
2 - 1
Crawley

Dieng (31', 44')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Appiah (45+6')
Tsaroulla (26'), Yems (45'), Tilley (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Crawley Town

Exeter are currently in imperious form, and we think that they will pick up all three points on Tuesday when they face a Crawley side that are low on confidence after losing their last two matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCrawley Town
59.6%22.73%17.67%
Both teams to score 48.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.08%49.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.1%71.9%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62%16.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.99%46.01%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.04%41.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.6%78.4%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 59.59%
    Crawley Town 17.67%
    Draw 22.72%
Exeter CityDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 12.43%
2-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 5.89%
4-0 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.11%
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 59.59%
1-1 @ 10.79%
0-0 @ 6.87%
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 5.97%
1-2 @ 4.69%
0-2 @ 2.59%
1-3 @ 1.36%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 17.67%

How you voted: Exeter vs Crawley

Exeter City
82.4%
Draw
17.6%
Crawley Town
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Crawley
1-3
Exeter
Appiah (31')
Nadesan (22'), Hessenthaler (45+4')
Nadesan (43')
Jay (54'), Atangana (56'), Nombe (90')
Atangana (45+4'), Nombe (83')
Feb 27, 2021 1pm
Crawley
2-0
Exeter
Nichols (62' pen.), Nadesan (83')
Tunnicliffe (26'), Nadesan (48'), Francomb (52')

Sparkes (44')
Parkes (51')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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