Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Exeter City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.