League Two

League Two | Gameweek 37

Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
1 - 2
Northampton

Lines (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McGowan (18'), Pinnock (50')
Hoskins (68'), Rose (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

Last Six:

Last Game: Stevenage 4-2 Salford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	Carlisle United	46	-23	53
21	Stevenage	46	-23	47
22	Barrow	46	-13	44

Northampton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Mansfield
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bristol Rovers	46	22	80
4	Northampton Town	46	22	80
5	Port Vale	46	21	78

We said: Stevenage 0-2 Northampton Town

With 10 games to the end of the season, both sides find themselves at opposite ends of the league standings, with Northampton Town being the superior side. Looking at the gulf in class and quality between the two sides and the recent history of this fixture, we are tipping the Cobblers to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Northampton Town
29.59%	27.98%	42.43%

Both teams to score 46.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.67%

59.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.28%

79.73%

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.1%

35.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.33%

72.68%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.36%

27.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.82%

63.19%

Score Analysis

Stevenage 29.58%

Northampton Town 42.42%

Draw 27.98%

Stevenage	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 6.7% 2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.98% Total : 29.58%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.98%	0-1 @ 12.75% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 8.2% 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.81% Total : 42.42%