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Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Lamex Stadium
Northampton Town

Stevenage
1 - 2
Northampton

Lines (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGowan (18'), Pinnock (50')
Hoskins (68'), Rose (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 4-2 Salford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 0-2 Northampton Town

With 10 games to the end of the season, both sides find themselves at opposite ends of the league standings, with Northampton Town being the superior side. Looking at the gulf in class and quality between the two sides and the recent history of this fixture, we are tipping the Cobblers to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawNorthampton Town
29.59%27.98%42.43%
Both teams to score 46.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.67%59.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.28%79.73%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1%35.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33%72.68%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36%27.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82%63.19%
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 29.58%
    Northampton Town 42.42%
    Draw 27.98%
StevenageDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 6.7%
2-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 2.29%
3-0 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 29.58%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 12.75%
1-2 @ 8.4%
0-2 @ 8.2%
1-3 @ 3.6%
0-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 42.42%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Northampton

Stevenage
26.7%
Draw
13.3%
Northampton Town
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Northampton
3-0
Stevenage
Etete (34'), Hoskins (43'), Horsfall (63')
Lewis (88')

Reeves (12'), Vancooten (54'), Reid (56'), Coker (73')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Northampton
0-0
Stevenage
Northampton win 4-2 on penalties

Iontton (60')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Northampton
1-0
Stevenage
Williams (94')
Harriman (40'), Anderson (45'), Hoskins (57'), Wharton (78')

Timlin (28'), Soares (51'), List (74'), Nugent (81')
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Stevenage
0-1
Northampton

Stokes (21'), Wildin (41'), Farman (67')
Smith (56')
Turnbull (25'), Goode (38'), McWilliams (64'), Smith (67'), Oliver (80')
Smith (68')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Stevenage
1-2
Northampton
Revell (79')
Timlin (51'), Farman (93')
Powell (19'), Williams (91')
Powell (14'), Goode (47'), O'Toole (64'), Hoskins (87'), Foley (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2912983629745
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2981293940-136
17Newport CountyNewport2896133747-1033
18Gillingham2795132529-432
19BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2965182746-1923
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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