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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
28.77% ( -0.31) | 26.39% ( 0.16) | 44.84% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 50.55% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.2% ( -0.78) | 53.8% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.73% ( -0.66) | 75.27% ( 0.66) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.42% ( -0.64) | 33.58% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.78% ( -0.7) | 70.22% ( 0.71) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.1% ( -0.27) | 23.9% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.89% ( -0.38) | 58.11% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 28.77% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 44.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 59 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 52 |
3 | Notts County | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 50 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 48 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 48 |
6 | Port Vale | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
8 | Salford City | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 45 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 42 |
10 | Chesterfield | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 37 |
14 | Swindon TownSwindon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 37 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 36 |
16 | Bromley | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 36 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 33 |
18 | Gillingham | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 32 |
19 | BarrowBarrow | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 29 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 46 | -25 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 21 |
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