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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
42.15% | 26.96% | 30.89% |
Both teams to score 49.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.88% | 55.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.63% | 76.37% |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.16% | 25.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.2% | 60.8% |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.3% | 32.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.75% | 69.25% |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 7.74% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.15% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |