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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
47.05% ( 0) | 24.97% | 27.98% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 54.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.56% | 48.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.43% ( 0) | 70.57% ( -0) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.37% ( 0) | 20.62% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.81% ( 0) | 53.18% ( -0) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.63% ( -0) | 31.37% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.26% ( -0) | 67.73% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.35% 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.67% Total : 47.04% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.35% 1-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |