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Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Crawley Town

Forest Green
2 - 1
Crawley

Morton (26', 45+2')
Dabo (4'), Maddox (67'), Welch (69'), Moore-Taylor (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Darcy (6')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Crawley
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawCrawley Town
37.83% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 24.82% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 37.35% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 58.44% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.21% (0.039000000000001 0.04)44.79% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.85% (0.036999999999999 0.04)67.15% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)23.43% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)57.43% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (0.064999999999998 0.06)23.68% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.21% (0.091000000000001 0.09)57.79% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 37.83%
    Crawley Town 37.35%
    Draw 24.81%
Forest Green RoversDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 37.83%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.81%
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.76% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.76% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 37.35%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Crawley
2-1
Forest Green
Nadesan (24'), Tunnicliffe (32')
Craig (30'), Francomb (72'), Powell (77'), Morris (85')
Bernard (80')
Sweeney (90'), Adams (90+4')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Forest Green
6-3
Crawley
Cadden (1', 67', 69'), Stevens (24'), Matt (48'), Young (78')
Adams (59')
Hessenthaler (14', 30'), Appiah (86')
Craig (27'), Appiah (90')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Crawley
0-0
Forest Green
McNerney (49'), Wright (65')
Stokes (56')
Dec 29, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 21
Forest Green
1-2
Crawley
Young (50')
Nichols (16', 79')
Craig (61'), Davies (90+3')
Jan 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 26
Crawley
1-1
Forest Green
Lubala (45')
Tunnicliffe (63' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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