League Two

League Two | Gameweek 10

Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
1 - 2
Morecambe

Omotoye (84')
Inniss (12'), Brown (23'), Robson (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mellon (26'), Slew (48')
Love (5'), Bedeau (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Notts County 4-3 Forest Green
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Morecambe 2-2 Swindon
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Morecambe
34.26% ( 0.01)	27.67% ( 0.01)	38.07% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.67% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.89% (

-0.04)

57.11% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.01% (

-0.03)

77.98% (

0.03)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.59% (

-0.01)

31.41% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.22% (

-0.01)

67.78% (

0.01)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.96% (

-0.03)

29.04% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.05% (

-0.04)

64.94% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 34.26%

Morecambe 38.06%

Draw 27.67%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.26%	1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.67%	0-1 @ 11.27% 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 38.06%