Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.