Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
