Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 47.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.53%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.