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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
29.7% ( -0.39) | 27.76% ( 0.54) | 42.54% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 47.08% ( -1.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.52% ( -2.1) | 58.48% ( 2.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.93% ( -1.66) | 79.07% ( 1.66) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.65% ( -1.41) | 35.35% ( 1.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.89% ( -1.49) | 72.11% ( 1.49) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.82% ( -1.05) | 27.18% ( 1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.41% ( -1.39) | 62.59% ( 1.39) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.07% Total : 29.7% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.74) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |