MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:52:04| >> :120:37288:37288:
Swindon Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7pm UK
The County Ground
Plymouth Argyle

Swindon
1 - 3
Plymouth

Hepburn-Murphy (90+1')
Iandolo (24'), Khan (41')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Jenkins-Davies (28'), Halls (30'), Hardie (88')
Cosgrove (45+2'), Whittaker (66'), Butcher (90')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Swindon Town and Plymouth Argyle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
47.42% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 24.04% (0.0030000000000001 0) 28.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.95% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.95% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)44.04% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.57% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)66.43% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)18.72% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.92% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)50.08% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)28.71% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)64.53% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 47.42%
    Plymouth Argyle 28.53%
    Draw 24.04%
Swindon TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 5.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 28.53%

How you voted: Swindon vs Plymouth

Swindon Town
42.9%
Draw
0.0%
Plymouth Argyle
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2021 7pm
Plymouth
1-3
Swindon
Agard (24')
Tomlinson (90+2')
Gillesphey (20' og.), Mitchell-Lawson (74'), McKirdy (84')
Baudry (29')
Jan 26, 2021 7pm
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Plymouth
4-2
Swindon
Jephcott (6', 25'), Edwards (7'), Grant (89')
Fornah (14'), Hardie (76')
Hope (10'), Grant (23')
Payne (4'), Smith (38'), Smith (62')
Smith (45+4')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Swindon
Telford (22')
Edwards (45')
Jaiyesimi (35'), Doyle (77')
Grant (15'), Hunt (25'), Lyden (48'), Doyle (78'), Yates (79')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Swindon
1-1
Plymouth
Doyle (45')
Grant (49'), Baudry (56'), Lyden (67'), Doyle (89')
Grant (76')
Riley (42'), Canavan (79'), Mayor (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!