Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Swindon Town in this match.