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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Harrogate Town |
47.43% ( -0.36) | 26.37% ( 0.22) | 26.19% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 48.81% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.82% ( -0.74) | 55.18% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.58% ( -0.61) | 76.42% ( 0.61) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.73% ( -0.49) | 23.27% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.8% ( -0.71) | 57.2% ( 0.71) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.61% ( -0.29) | 36.39% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.83% ( -0.29) | 73.17% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 47.43% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 26.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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