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Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
One Call Stadium
Colchester United

Mansfield
1 - 1
Colchester

Brunt (63')
Keillor-Dunn (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anderson (13')
Ihionvien (16'), Hall (45+2'), Tovide (74'), Hopper (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 1-5 Mansfield
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Mansfield Town 3-1 Colchester United

With Mansfield having been far from perfect in recent weeks, Colchester will sense an opportunity to cause an upset, aware that no-one expects them to avoid defeat. However, we can only back the home side to come through, even if it takes the second half to finally discourage their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawColchester United
65.09% (-0.566 -0.57) 19.05% (0.25 0.25) 15.86% (0.316 0.32)
Both teams to score 57% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.21% (-0.55 -0.55)36.79% (0.55 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.03% (-0.599 -0.6)58.96% (0.599 0.6)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.38% (-0.298 -0.3)10.62% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.57% (-0.669 -0.67)34.43% (0.669 0.67)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.77% (0.045999999999999 0.05)36.23% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (0.047000000000001 0.05)73.01% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 65.09%
    Colchester United 15.86%
    Draw 19.05%
Mansfield TownDrawColchester United
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.63% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 7.34% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4.12% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-0 @ 4.05% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.09% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.85% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.82% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 65.09%
1-1 @ 8.76% (0.137 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.05%
1-2 @ 4.45% (0.075 0.08)
0-1 @ 3.91% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.98% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 15.86%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Colchester

Mansfield Town
75.0%
Draw
8.3%
Colchester United
16.7%
36
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Colchester
1-1
Mansfield
Taylor (30')
Taylor (75'), Egbo (80'), Fevrier (87'), Chilvers (89')
Keillor-Dunn (90')
Reed (64'), Cargill (73'), Johnson (90+2')
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Colchester
0-2
Mansfield
Harbottle (45+2'), Gale (90+7')
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Mansfield
2-1
Colchester
Swan (34'), Akins (90+2')
Newby (10')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Mansfield
2-1
Colchester
Oates (19'), Bowery (90+2' pen.)
O'Toole (18'), Akins (83'), Hewitt (90+6')
Judge (90+7')
Sarpong-Wiredu (23'), Kennedy (69')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Colchester
1-1
Mansfield
Sears (90+5' pen.)
Skuse (58')
Hewitt (72')
Quinn (68'), Perch (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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