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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
63.65% ( 0) | 19.12% ( 0) | 17.23% |
Both teams to score 59.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.61% ( -0) | 34.39% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.7% ( -0) | 56.31% ( 0) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.71% ( 0) | 10.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.31% | 33.69% ( 0) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.87% | 33.14% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.26% ( -0) | 69.74% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 8.82% 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.38% 3-0 @ 6.68% 4-1 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 4.08% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.8% 4-2 @ 2.32% 5-1 @ 1.91% 5-0 @ 1.73% 5-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 4.21% Total : 63.65% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.38% 0-0 @ 3.41% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.12% | 1-2 @ 4.73% 0-1 @ 3.77% 0-2 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.93% Total : 17.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |