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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Mansfield Town |
32.54% ( 0.07) | 26.31% ( 0.05) | 41.15% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 52.53% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.95% ( -0.18) | 52.04% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.22% ( -0.16) | 73.77% ( 0.16) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70% ( -0.05) | 30% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.88% ( -0.06) | 66.11% ( 0.05) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.04% ( -0.14) | 24.96% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.39% ( -0.2) | 59.6% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 32.54% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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