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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Bradford City |
37.47% ( -0.09) | 26.46% ( -0.2) | 36.07% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 52.67% ( 0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.85% ( 0.86) | 52.15% ( -0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.14% ( 0.74) | 73.86% ( -0.73) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.99% ( 0.35) | 27.01% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.63% ( 0.46) | 62.37% ( -0.46) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.17% ( 0.6) | 27.83% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.57% ( 0.75) | 63.42% ( -0.75) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.47% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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