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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Barrow |
39.17% ( 0.23) | 26.49% ( 0.07) | 34.34% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 52.38% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.56% ( -0.31) | 52.43% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.89% ( -0.27) | 74.11% ( 0.27) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.8% ( -0.02) | 26.2% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.71% ( -0.02) | 61.29% ( 0.02) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.97% ( -0.34) | 29.03% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.07% ( -0.42) | 64.93% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Barrow |
1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.16% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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