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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
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Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
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Grimsby Town
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MK Dons
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Barrow

MK Dons
2 - 2
Barrow

Dean (12', 35')
Robson (6'), Norman (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Whitfield (90+3'), Acauah (90+5')
Wild (7'), Farman (13'), Gotts (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 MK Dons
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 3-1 Barrow
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Barrow

MK Dons have the attacking quality to rise to the summit of the League Two table, but recent results suggest that Alexander is yet to find the winning formula at Stadium MK. Barrow will have taken a lot of confidence from the draw with league leaders Notts County last weekend, and we are expecting the Bluebirds to earn another point on their travels this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawBarrow
39.17% (0.227 0.23) 26.49% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 34.34% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Both teams to score 52.38% (-0.262 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56% (-0.313 -0.31)52.43% (0.311 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89% (-0.268 -0.27)74.11% (0.265 0.27)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)26.2% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)61.29% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.97% (-0.33799999999999 -0.34)29.03% (0.337 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.07% (-0.418 -0.42)64.93% (0.41600000000001 0.42)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 39.16%
    Barrow 34.34%
    Draw 26.48%
MK DonsDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 10.18% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.16%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.094 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 9.41% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.34%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Barrow

MK Dons
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Barrow
33.3%
6
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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