League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Crewe1 - 0Morecambe
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Crewe
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-1 Morecambe
Morecambe's confidence will have been lifted by their win over Wigan, but there is no getting away from the fact that it has been a tough start to the season. We are backing Morecambe to score their first league goal of the campaign on Saturday, but Crewe should have enough to emerge victorious on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crewe Alexandra.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Morecambe |
41.63% ( 0.01) | 25.47% ( -0) | 32.9% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.39% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
