League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Notts County1 - 4Mansfield
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Mansfield 3-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
We said: Notts County 1-1 Mansfield Town
Notts County have won every single home match they have played so far this season, but Mansfield Town remain undefeated in all competitions. Given that the Stags also have a very good defensive record, we do not expect Saturday's game to be a high-scoring affair, and it could end up finishing as a draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Mansfield Town |
34.49% ( 0.35) | 23.29% ( -0.02) | 42.22% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 63.67% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.19% ( 0.21) | 37.8% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.94% ( 0.23) | 60.05% ( -0.22) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( 0.29) | 22.01% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.68% ( 0.43) | 55.32% ( -0.43) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.64% ( -0.05) | 18.36% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.52% ( -0.08) | 49.48% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Notts County 34.49%
Mansfield Town 42.22%
Draw 23.28%
| Notts County | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.48% Total : 34.49% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.69% Total : 42.22% |
How you voted: Notts County vs Mansfield
Notts County
62.5%Draw
25.0%Mansfield Town
12.5%24
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2019 1pm
Gameweek 33
Notts County
1-0
Mansfield
Oct 24, 2017 7.45pm
Sep 30, 2017 1pm
Form Guide
