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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Notts County |
26.57% ( -0.21) | 23.5% ( -0.09) | 49.93% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 58.19% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.99% ( 0.25) | 43% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.59% ( 0.25) | 65.4% ( -0.25) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.4% ( -0.02) | 29.6% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.37% ( -0.03) | 65.63% ( 0.03) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.66% ( 0.2) | 17.34% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.28% ( 0.36) | 47.72% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.23% Total : 26.57% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.89% Total : 49.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |