Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 47%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.