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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 46.13%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 26.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Northampton Town |
26.88% ( -0.01) | 26.99% ( -0.02) | 46.13% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.57% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.96% ( 0.06) | 57.04% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.08% ( 0.05) | 77.92% ( -0.04) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.17% ( 0.02) | 36.83% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.38% ( 0.02) | 73.62% ( -0.02) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.3% ( 0.04) | 24.7% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.77% ( 0.05) | 59.23% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 26.88% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 46.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |