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Championship header 2

League Two
Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Carlisle United

Rochdale
0 - 1
Carlisle


Lloyd (54'), Diagouraga (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gordon (8')
Huntington (22'), Feeney (26'), Gordon (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 3-1 Hartlepool
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Rochdale 0-3 Carlisle United

 Carlisle are in fantastic form, and the attacking threat that they pose should be far too much for Rochdale to be able to handle, given how poor their defence has been all season. As such, we expect the Blues to romp home to a comfortable victory, with Dennis likely to be on the scoresheet for the fifth game on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Carlisle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Carlisle United.

Result
RochdaleDrawCarlisle United
34.01% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 26.65% (0.0040000000000013 0) 39.34% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)53.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)74.7% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)29.57% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)65.6% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.42% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)61.59% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 34.01%
    Carlisle United 39.34%
    Draw 26.65%
RochdaleDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 34.01%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 10.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.34%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Carlisle

Rochdale
36.4%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
3-3
Rochdale
Mellish (36'), Dennis (58'), Huntington (78')
Quigley (22', 53'), Rodney (51')
Quigley (69')
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
Rochdale
2-0
Carlisle
Kelly (10' pen.), Grant (81')
Lynch (70')

Simeu (5'), Devine (63'), Dickenson (90+3')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Carlisle
2-0
Rochdale
Patrick (25'), Sho-Silva (89')
Gibson (79'), Armer (88')
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Rochdale
2-1
Carlisle
Morley (11'), Done (31')
Camps (67'), O'Connell (70'), Keohane (91')
Bridge (71' pen.)
Dec 3, 2016 3pm
Second Round
Carlisle
0-2
Rochdale
Davies (48'), Mendez-Laing (93')
Canavan (35')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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