League Two

League Two | Gameweek 29

Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale
0 - 1
Carlisle

Lloyd (54'), Diagouraga (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gordon (8')
Huntington (22'), Feeney (26'), Gordon (36')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 3-1 Hartlepool
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rochdale 0-3 Carlisle United

Carlisle are in fantastic form, and the attacking threat that they pose should be far too much for Rochdale to be able to handle, given how poor their defence has been all season. As such, we expect the Blues to romp home to a comfortable victory, with Dennis likely to be on the scoresheet for the fifth game on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Carlisle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Carlisle United.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Carlisle United
34.01% ( -0.01)	26.65% ( 0)	39.34% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.82% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.87% (

-0.02)

53.13% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.3% (

-0.02)

74.7% (

0.02)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.42% (

-0.01)

29.57% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.39% (

-0.02)

65.6% (

0.02)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.58% (

-0)

26.42% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.41% (

-0.01)

61.59% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 34.01%

Carlisle United 39.34%

Draw 26.65%

Rochdale	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.8% 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.01%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.34%