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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Leyton Orient |
39.33% ( -0.13) | 27.84% ( -0.15) | 32.83% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 47.92% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.07% ( 0.59) | 57.93% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.37% ( 0.46) | 78.63% ( -0.47) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% ( 0.21) | 28.7% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.47% ( 0.27) | 64.52% ( -0.27) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.21% ( 0.5) | 32.79% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.65% ( 0.55) | 69.35% ( -0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 39.33% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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