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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Northampton Town |
46.51% ( -0.56) | 26.24% ( 0.17) | 27.25% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 50.01% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.98% ( -0.42) | 54.02% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.54% ( -0.36) | 75.46% ( 0.35) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.8% ( -0.44) | 23.2% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.9% ( -0.64) | 57.09% ( 0.64) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.11% ( 0.09) | 34.88% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.37% ( 0.09) | 71.62% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.82% Total : 46.5% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.12% Total : 27.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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