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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Stockport County

Swindon
0 - 1
Stockport


Morris (2'), Hepburn-Murphy (3'), Brynn (60'), Williams (62')
Wakeling (1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Croasdale (80')
Rydel (45+4'), Lewis (48'), Knoyle (49'), Lemonheigh-Evans (64'), Wootton (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 4-4 Swindon
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

Stockport County

All competitions
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Stockport County

 Neither side is in great form, and both need a win as a draw will not do them many favours in reaching their desired targets. However, it is tough to separate the sides, and despite scoring four at Rochdale last week, Swindon, like Stockport, have not been overly prolific recently. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawStockport County
37.34%25.49%37.17%
Both teams to score 56.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.11%47.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94%70.06%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9%25.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2%59.8%
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81%25.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08%59.92%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 37.34%
    Stockport County 37.17%
    Draw 25.49%
Swindon TownDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-0 @ 0.96%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.34%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 6.32%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.72%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 6.01%
1-3 @ 3.82%
0-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.64%
1-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 0.95%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 37.17%

How you voted: Swindon vs Stockport

Swindon Town
62.5%
Draw
18.8%
Stockport County
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Stockport
4-0
Swindon
Sarcevic (11', 29'), Wright (16'), Rydel (58')

Khan (1')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Stockport
1-1
Swindon
Sarcevic (84')
Brown (52'), Jennings (66')
Madden (80')
Blake-Tracy (49')
Blake-Tracy (50'), Reed (70')
Feb 23, 2010 3pm
Swindon
4-1
Stockport
Ferry (74'), Ward (4'), Paynter (45', 79')
Morrison (66')
Tansey (45')
Jan 19, 2010 3pm
Stockport
0-1
Swindon

Pilkington (72'), Swailes (90'), Rose (90')
Paynter (73' pen.)
Jan 13, 2009 3pm
Swindon
1-1
Stockport
Smith (62')
Timlin (21')
Pilkington (73')
McNulty (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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