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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Carlisle United

Swindon
1 - 2
Carlisle

Shade (80')
Wakeling (17'), Austin (58'), Clayton (70'), Shade (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Armer (51'), Edmondson (90+6')
Guy (9'), McCalmont (56'), Moxon (76')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCarlisle United
41.94% (-0.184 -0.18) 26.19% (-0.029 -0.03) 31.87% (0.212 0.21)
Both teams to score 52.66% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.23% (0.184 0.18)51.77% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.46% (0.158 0.16)73.53% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)24.43% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)58.87% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.23399999999999 0.23)30.31% (-0.235 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (0.278 0.28)66.49% (-0.279 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 41.93%
    Carlisle United 31.87%
    Draw 26.18%
Swindon TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 41.93%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.44% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.87%

How you voted: Swindon vs Carlisle

Swindon Town
0.0%
Draw
60.0%
Carlisle United
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
1-1
Swindon
Dennis (45')
Moxon (63')
Wakeling (22')
Reed (18'), MacDonald (90+4')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
0-3
Swindon

Simeu (36')
McKirdy (17'), Davison (55'), Barry (57')
Davison (36'), Cooper (87')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Swindon
1-2
Carlisle
Crichlow (30')
Kesler (28'), Reed (90+3')
Kesler (90+7')
Riley (13'), Abrahams (43')
Dickenson (29'), Norman (63')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
1-1
Swindon
Hayden (62')
Edmonds-Green (11')
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Swindon
3-2
Carlisle
Yates (56'), Fryers (70'), Woolery (90')
Doughty (34'), Lyden (57')
Olomola (52'), Sagaf (92')
Knight-Percival (57')
Carroll (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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