League Two

League Two | Gameweek 21

Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale
1 - 2
Stockport

Rodney (85')
Lloyd (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Collar (56' pen., 58')
Knoyle (19')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stockport County

All competitions

Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rochdale 0-3 Stockport County

When it rains, it pours, and it is difficult to see how Rochdale can overcome the high-flying Stockport, even on home turf this Saturday. Stockport will be looking to bombard the Rochdale box, with Madden and Wootton hoping to overload the Dale's defenders with their physical presence. Collar may be a strong contender to score for the third successive game from midfield. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 21.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Stockport County
21.71% ( -1.35)	25.34% ( -0.59)	52.95% ( 1.94)

Both teams to score 47.21% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.04% (

0.91)

54.96% (

-0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.76% (

0.74)

76.24% (

-0.75)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.59% (

-0.82)

40.41% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.97% (

-0.75)

77.03% (

0.75)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.23% (

1.19)

20.77% (

-1.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.58% (

1.84)

53.42% (

-1.84)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 21.71%

Stockport County 52.94%

Draw 25.34%

Rochdale	Draw	Stockport County
1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.29% Total : 21.71%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.36% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.94%