MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 07:04:48| >> :600:356247:356247:
Stockport County
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Edgeley Park
Swindon Town

Stockport
4 - 0
Swindon

Sarcevic (11', 29'), Wright (16'), Rydel (58')
Brown (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Khan (1'), Hutton (29'), Reed (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Stockport County and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Stockport
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-5 Swindon
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 2-1 Swindon Town

Both sides are in great form so we are expecting a tightly-contested affair at Edgeley Park. Stockport have been impressive defensively in recent weeks, and we think that could be the difference here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawSwindon Town
48.03% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.51% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.46% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.18% (0.0039999999999978 0)46.82% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92% (0.0040000000000013 0)69.08% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)19.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)51.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.08% (0.010999999999996 0.01)30.92% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78% (0.014000000000003 0.01)67.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 48.03%
    Swindon Town 27.46%
    Draw 24.51%
Stockport CountyDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 9.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 48.03%
1-1 @ 11.58%
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.51%
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 27.46%

How you voted: Stockport vs Swindon

Stockport County
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Swindon Town
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Stockport
1-1
Swindon
Sarcevic (84')
Brown (52'), Jennings (66')
Madden (80')
Blake-Tracy (49')
Blake-Tracy (50'), Reed (70')
Feb 23, 2010 3pm
Swindon
4-1
Stockport
Ferry (74'), Ward (4'), Paynter (45', 79')
Morrison (66')
Tansey (45')
Jan 19, 2010 3pm
Stockport
0-1
Swindon

Pilkington (72'), Swailes (90'), Rose (90')
Paynter (73' pen.)
Jan 13, 2009 3pm
Sep 20, 2008 3pm
Stockport
1-1
Swindon
Gleeson (32')
Gleeson (27')
Easton (49')
Aljofree (24'), Amankwaah (39'), Smith (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!