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Championship header 2

League Two
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
MK Dons

Wrexham
3 - 5
MK Dons

Mendy (42'), Davies (82'), Forde (90+6')
Lee (23'), O'Connell (24')
FT(HT: 1-2)
O'Connell (6' og.), Eisa (10'), Leko (51', 64'), Harvie (90+4')
Eisa (11'), Norman (68'), MacGillivray (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last Game: Man Utd 1-3 Wrexham
Wednesday, July 26 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 1-5 Coventry
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Wrexham 2-1 MK Dons

 Wrexham are riding the crest of a wave at the moment, and they should be backed by a huge crowd at the Racecourse Ground in their first EFL game since 2009, while MK Dons have not performed well in pre-season. As such, we expect the hosts to kick off their first game of the season with a victory, building momentum ahead of what should be another season where they are battling for promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawMK Dons
69.03% (3.214 3.21) 17.33% (-1.804 -1.8) 13.65% (-1.409 -1.41)
Both teams to score 57.6% (2.937 2.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.69% (5.563 5.56)33.31% (-5.563 -5.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.92% (6.11 6.11)55.08% (-6.11 -6.11)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.26% (2.284 2.28)8.74% (-2.283 -2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.95% (5.29 5.29)30.04% (-5.29 -5.29)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.12% (1.681 1.68)36.88% (-1.68 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33% (1.642 1.64)73.67% (-1.641 -1.64)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 69.03%
    MK Dons 13.65%
    Draw 17.33%
WrexhamDrawMK Dons
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.756 -0.76)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.299 -0.3)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-1.517 -1.52)
3-0 @ 7.78% (0.181 0.18)
3-1 @ 7.76% (0.519 0.52)
4-0 @ 4.74% (0.551 0.55)
4-1 @ 4.73% (0.736 0.74)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.42 0.42)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.457 0.46)
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.463 0.46)
5-1 @ 2.3% (0.544 0.54)
5-2 @ 1.15% (0.311 0.31)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.259 0.26)
6-1 @ 0.94% (0.289 0.29)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 69.03%
1-1 @ 7.84% (-1.096 -1.1)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.071 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-1.027 -1.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.19 0.19)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.33%
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.348 -0.35)
0-1 @ 3.22% (-0.836 -0.84)
0-2 @ 1.6% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 13.65%

How you voted: Wrexham vs MK Dons

Wrexham
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
MK Dons
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2008 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Wrexham
O'Hanlon (75'), Swailes (2'), Wilbraham (10', 90')
Lewington (36'), Navarro (46'), Gueret (59'), Regan (60'), Miles (83')
Roberts (59' pen.)
Roberts (26'), Bolland (33')
Jan 19, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-0
MK Dons
Roberts (71')
Evans (49'), Nicholson (56'), Spender (79')

Wilbraham (64'), Johnson (83')
Mar 17, 2007 3pm
MK Dons
2-1
Wrexham
Andrews (38' pen.), Platt (85')
Dyer (52')
McEvilly (12')
Roche (18'), Garrett (37'), McEvilly (43')
Roche (36')
Oct 14, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
1-2
MK Dons
Roberts (20')
Done (64'), Evans (69'), Jones (88'), Mackin (90')
O'Hanlon (77')
O'Hanlon (22')
Feb 26, 2005 3pm
Wrexham
0-0
MK Dons
Morgan (87')
Lewington (81'), Harding (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4Notts County361710955371861
5AFC Wimbledon361791047252260
6Port Vale35151374437758
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town36175145153-256
9Colchester UnitedColchester36131674233955
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City361311124341250
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham361310134851-349
14Chesterfield351391356431348
15Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport36127174561-1643
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington36109174454-1039
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627
> League Two Full Table


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