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Championship header 2

League Two
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
MK Dons

Wrexham
3 - 5
MK Dons

Mendy (42'), Davies (82'), Forde (90+6')
Lee (23'), O'Connell (24')
FT(HT: 1-2)
O'Connell (6' og.), Eisa (10'), Leko (51', 64'), Harvie (90+4')
Eisa (11'), Norman (68'), MacGillivray (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last Game: Man Utd 1-3 Wrexham
Wednesday, July 26 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 1-5 Coventry
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Wrexham 2-1 MK Dons

 Wrexham are riding the crest of a wave at the moment, and they should be backed by a huge crowd at the Racecourse Ground in their first EFL game since 2009, while MK Dons have not performed well in pre-season. As such, we expect the hosts to kick off their first game of the season with a victory, building momentum ahead of what should be another season where they are battling for promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawMK Dons
69.03% (3.214 3.21) 17.33% (-1.804 -1.8) 13.65% (-1.409 -1.41)
Both teams to score 57.6% (2.937 2.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.69% (5.563 5.56)33.31% (-5.563 -5.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.92% (6.11 6.11)55.08% (-6.11 -6.11)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.26% (2.284 2.28)8.74% (-2.283 -2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.95% (5.29 5.29)30.04% (-5.29 -5.29)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.12% (1.681 1.68)36.88% (-1.68 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33% (1.642 1.64)73.67% (-1.641 -1.64)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 69.03%
    MK Dons 13.65%
    Draw 17.33%
WrexhamDrawMK Dons
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.756 -0.76)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.299 -0.3)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-1.517 -1.52)
3-0 @ 7.78% (0.181 0.18)
3-1 @ 7.76% (0.519 0.52)
4-0 @ 4.74% (0.551 0.55)
4-1 @ 4.73% (0.736 0.74)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.42 0.42)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.457 0.46)
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.463 0.46)
5-1 @ 2.3% (0.544 0.54)
5-2 @ 1.15% (0.311 0.31)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.259 0.26)
6-1 @ 0.94% (0.289 0.29)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 69.03%
1-1 @ 7.84% (-1.096 -1.1)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.071 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-1.027 -1.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.19 0.19)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.33%
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.348 -0.35)
0-1 @ 3.22% (-0.836 -0.84)
0-2 @ 1.6% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 13.65%

How you voted: Wrexham vs MK Dons

Wrexham
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
MK Dons
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2008 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Wrexham
O'Hanlon (75'), Swailes (2'), Wilbraham (10', 90')
Lewington (36'), Navarro (46'), Gueret (59'), Regan (60'), Miles (83')
Roberts (59' pen.)
Roberts (26'), Bolland (33')
Jan 19, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-0
MK Dons
Roberts (71')
Evans (49'), Nicholson (56'), Spender (79')

Wilbraham (64'), Johnson (83')
Mar 17, 2007 3pm
MK Dons
2-1
Wrexham
Andrews (38' pen.), Platt (85')
Dyer (52')
McEvilly (12')
Roche (18'), Garrett (37'), McEvilly (43')
Roche (36')
Oct 14, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
1-2
MK Dons
Roberts (20')
Done (64'), Evans (69'), Jones (88'), Mackin (90')
O'Hanlon (77')
O'Hanlon (22')
Feb 26, 2005 3pm
Wrexham
0-0
MK Dons
Morgan (87')
Lewington (81'), Harding (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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