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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Barnsley

MK Dons
4 - 4
Barnsley

Eisa (48' pen., 61'), Leko (52'), O'Hora (69')
McEachran (19'), Johnson (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kane (30'), Norwood (73'), Watters (75', 86')
Kitching (23'), Benson (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Ipswich
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-2 Barnsley

MK Dons will fight hard in their bid to stay out of the bottom four on Saturday, but they meet a Barnsley side who boast more quality all over the pitch, and we see the South Yorkshire outfit coming out on top on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-0 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawBarnsley
24.76% (0.392 0.39) 24.98% (0.157 0.16) 50.25% (-0.552 -0.55)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (-0.313 -0.31)50.83% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (-0.276 -0.28)72.71% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75% (0.167 0.17)35.25% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.99% (0.176 0.18)72% (-0.179 -0.18)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.76% (-0.35000000000001 -0.35)20.24% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.43% (-0.562 -0.56)52.56% (0.559 0.56)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 24.76%
    Barnsley 50.25%
    Draw 24.98%
MK DonsDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.127 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.2% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.88% (0.084 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 24.76%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 11.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 9.1% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.06% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.85% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.94% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 50.25%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Barnsley

MK Dons
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Barnsley
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Barnsley
3-1
MK Dons
Williams (18'), Phillips (50'), Kane (68')
Eisa (40')
McEachran (23')
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Sep 13, 2014 3pm
Barnsley
3-5
MK Dons
Hourihane (82', 87'), Cole (91')
Abbott (37')
Afobe (33'), Carruthers (45'), Alli (52'), Grigg (71'), Reeves (79')
Randall (35')
Feb 16, 2013 3pm
Jan 21, 2006 3pm
Barnsley
2-0
MK Dons
Hassell (79'), Richards (77')
Burns (17'), Austin (68')

Small (39'), Chorley (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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