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Leeds logo
Premier League | Gameweek 11
Nov 7, 2021 at 2pm UK
Elland Road
Leicester logo

Leeds
1 - 1
Leicester

Raphinha (26')
Raphinha (27')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Barnes (28')
Ndidi (74')

Preview: Leeds United vs. Leicester City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two sides struggling to impress in the 2021-22 Premier League season lock horns at Elland Road on Sunday as Leeds United play host to Leicester City.

Marcelo Bielsa's side scraped a 2-1 win over Norwich City last time out, while the Foxes went down 2-0 to an Aaron Ramsdale-inspired Arsenal.


Match preview

Leeds United manager Marcelo Bielsa on October 23, 2021© Reuters

It was a day of spectacular goals for those in white at Carrow Road last weekend, as Leeds' encounter with Norwich exploded into life during a five-minute second-half flurry after a tame opening 56 minutes by comparison.

After Raphinha weaved his way through a sea of yellow shirts and fired home into the bottom corner, Norwich would hit back through Andrew Omobamidele's header, but Tim Krul allowed Rodrigo's long-distance effort to slip through his grasp in a frenetic four minutes.

The Whites would ultimately hang on to claim only their second Premier League win from 10 games in the 2021-22 season, with that result seeing them climb out of the drop zone into 17th, but they are still a far cry from where they were last term.

Defensive resilience was not exactly Leeds' forte last term either, and they can only boast one clean sheet from their 10 Premier League encounters so far this term, although that did come at home in a hard-fought success over Watford.

As dazzling and delightful as Raphinha has been for the Whites, the continued absence of Patrick Bamford will impact the hosts' ability to get over the line this week, although Leicester must still be wondering how they failed to make the net ripple against Arsenal.

Brendan Rodgers taking a training session, November 3, 2021© Reuters

Leicester were fighting an uphill battle early on against Arsenal following Gabriel's header and Emile Smith Rowe's well-taken finish before the 20-minute mark, and their efforts to claw the game back for the remaining 70 minutes went unrewarded.

James Maddison and Jonny Evans were both thwarted by a magnificent double save from Ramsdale - with the King Power already celebrating as Maddison's free kick seemed set to nestle into the top corner - and the Foxes eventually ran out of ideas in front of their own fans.

Leicester also saw their Europa League knockout aspirations take another hit in midweek, with Daniel Amartey cancelling out Victor Moses's strike in a 1-1 draw with Spartak Moscow, and the Foxes have lost a bit of momentum after previously winning four on the bounce in all competitions.

Defeat to the Gunners leaves Leicester 11th in the table as things stand, and they have now conceded two goals in four of their last five top-flight matches, while all five of Leicester's away games in the top-flight this term have seen both teams score.

Bielsa's side marched to a 3-1 win on Leicester's turf back in January after previously being thumped 4-1 at Elland Road, but not since 1999 have the hosts claimed back-to-back league wins over the 2015-16 Premier League champions.

Leeds United Premier League form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W

Leeds United form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W

Leicester City Premier League form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L

Leicester City form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D



Team News

Leicester City's James Maddison celebrates with teammates after winning the FA Community Shield on August 7, 2021© Reuters

Leeds boss Bielsa has confirmed that Bamford, Luke Ayling and Robin Koch will all remain sidelined this weekend, but Junior Firpo should be given the green light to make the squad.

The hosts are sweating over the fitness of Jamie Shackleton after the 22-year-old came off injured against Norwich, so it would not be a surprise to see Mateusz Klich recalled to the engine room.

Rodrigo is only yellow card away from being slapped with a one-game suspension, but the Spaniard is sure to continue up top alongside Jack Harrison this weekend.

As for Leicester, James Maddison and Harvey Barnes are among those to have been struck down by sickness bug in recent days, but Rodgers recently affirmed his hope that the duo will be fit for this game.

James Justin, Marc Albrighton and Wesley Fofana continue to recover from injuries, while Ricardo Pereira is touch and go and Wilfred Ndidi could be ready to challenge Boubakary Soumare for a spot in midfield.

Ayoze Perez may be forced to start two games in quick succession if Maddison does not make the cut, and Jamie Vardy prepares to return to the fold over Patson Daka.

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Meslier; Llorente, Struijk, Cooper; Klich, Phillips, Dallas; Raphinha, Rodrigo, James; Harrison

Leicester City possible starting lineup:
Schmeichel; Amartey, Soyuncu, Evans; Pereira, Tielemans, Ndidi, Castagne; Maddison; Iheanacho, Vardy


SM words green background

We say: Leeds United 1-3 Leicester City

Neither Leeds nor Leicester have covered themselves in defensive glory this term, and the Foxes' recent bout of illness has not helped their existing absentee woes.

However, with Rodgers expecting to welcome some of his big-hitters back to the first XI this weekend, we are backing Leicester to respond in ideal fashion and pile more misery on Bielsa.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Leeds vs Leicester

Leeds United
23.1%
Draw
14.6%
Leicester City
62.3%
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Manchester United's Cristiano Ronaldo pictured on October 30, 2021
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1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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