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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 9, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Strasbourg

Lens
0 - 1
Strasbourg


Cahuzac (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diallo (21')
Bellegarde (50')

Preview: Lens vs. Strasbourg - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Lens welcome Strasbourg to the Stade Bollaert-Delelis on Saturday evening, with the visitors looking to build on an emphatic victory last time out.

Les Coureurs demolished basement side Nimes in midweek to put some daylight between themselves and the bottom three and will be hoping it is the start of a good run of form.


Match preview

Lens celebrate scoring against Paris Saint-Germain in Ligue 1 on September 10, 2020© Reuters

Franck Haise's men were narrowly defeated away at league leaders Lyon on Tuesday night thanks to a Memphis Depay brace.

That result extended Lens' inconsistent form of late that has seen them win three and lose three of their last six matches.

Despite this being the Sang et Ors' first season back in the top flight after winning promotion in 2019-20, they are currently sitting in a lofty eighth position, just five points behind Rennes in the final Champions League spot with a game in hand.

Former Chelsea midfielder Gael Kakuta has been instrumental so far this season, with the Frenchman's seven goals and four assists firing Lens up the Ligue 1 table.

If Haise's side are to continue on their quest for European football in the next campaign, the 29-year-old will be central to their fortunes.

Strasbourg responded to being thrashed by Paris Saint-Germain by handing out a drubbing of their own in midweek.

The convincing 5-0 victory over Nimes lifted them four points above Dijon, who currently occupy the relegation playoff place.

Scoring goals has not been an issue for Thierry Laurey's men this season, with their 27 efforts bettering the attacking records of both Rennes and Marseille, who sit in fourth and fifth position, respectively.

Keeping them out, on the other hand, has been a real issue for Strasbourg. Thirty-two goals conceded in just 18 games means Les Coureurs have the third-worst defensive record in the division.

Lens Ligue 1 form: WLWLWL

Strasbourg Ligue 1 form: WDWLLW


Team News

Strasbourg manager Thierry Laurey pictured in February 2020© Reuters

Right-back Cheick Traore remains on the sidelines for Lens following a ruptured Achilles tendon. He is joined by fellow defender Facundo Medina, who is struggling with a knee problem.

Haise is unlikely to make too many changes following a good performance last time out, meaning Ignatius Ganago could be set to lead the line alongside Florian Sotoca once again.

Abdul Majeed Waris came off the bench to score a 90th-minute penalty against Nimes, and the forward could be rewarded with a place in the starting lineup this time around.

Several stars remain on the treatment table for Laurey, though, with Bingourou Kamara, Lamine Kone, Idriss Saadi, Lebo Mothiba and Matz Sels all unlikely to feature.

Lens possible starting lineup:
Leca; Gradit, Bade, Fortes; Clauss, Doucoure, Fofana, Boura; Kakuta; Sotoca, Ganago

Strasbourg possible starting lineup:
Kawashima; Caci, Simakan, Djiku, Lala; Aholou, Sissoko, Bellegarde, Thomasson; Ajorque, Diallo


SM words green background

We say: Lens 3-2 Strasbourg

Lens have responded to their last three defeats with victory and we expect them to repeat the trick over the weekend.

Strasbourg games usually involve a lot of goals and they could be on the wrong end of another high scoring affair when they travel to northern France.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Lens vs Strasbourg

Lens
67.4%
Draw
9.3%
Strasbourg
23.3%
43
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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