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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 4am UK
Estadio Olimpico de Universitario

Pumas
1 - 1
Toluca

Huerta (24')
Huerta (81'), Alcala (90+10'), Gutierrez (90+14'), Trigos (90+5'), Caicedo (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dominguez (15')
Baeza (38'), Belmonte (81'), Pinuelas (90+7')
Pinuelas (90+10')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Pumas
Monday, July 17 at 3.15am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-4 Juarez
Sunday, July 16 at 7pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
PumasDrawToluca
43.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 24.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 32.73% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 60.36% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.11% (0.026000000000003 0.03)41.89% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.7% (0.024000000000001 0.02)64.3% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4%19.6% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)51.54% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.08% (0.027999999999992 0.03)24.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45% (0.037000000000006 0.04)59.55% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Pumas 43.24%
    Toluca 32.73%
    Draw 24.03%
PumasDrawToluca
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 43.24%
1-1 @ 11.06%
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.73%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 15
Pumas
3-1
Toluca
Dinenno (1'), Huerta (38'), Salvio (44' pen.)
Gonzalez (31' pen.)
Sep 11, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 14
Toluca
2-2
Pumas
Jan 11, 2022 3am
Gameweek 1
Pumas
5-0
Toluca
Rogerio (31', 64'), Diogo (61'), Ruvalcaba (69'), Meritao (81')
Diogo (59'), Ortiz (75'), Talavera (77')

Rodriguez (38'), Sartiaguin (53')
Nov 21, 2021 11pm
Toluca
1-2
Pumas
Ortega (62' pen.)
Sambueza (2'), Estrada (23'), Garcia (83'), Chavez (90+6')
Lopez (16'), Dinenno (50')
Diogo (21'), Lopez (31'), Lira (34'), Dinenno (82'), Ortiz (85'), Corozo (90+8')
Aug 29, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 7
Toluca
2-1
Pumas
Sambueza (20'), Canelo (70')
Lopez (15'), Rigonato Rodrigues (68'), Canelo (72'), Garcia (83')
Dinenno (8' pen.)
Garcia Hernandez (56'), Lopez (56')
Mozo (15'), Garcia Hernandez (75'), Dinenno (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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