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Liga MX | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
5 - 0
Pachuca

Volpi (26' pen.), Araujo (29'), Dominguez (53'), Raul (57', 63')
Venegas (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rodriguez (18'), Almada (19'), Moreno (24')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pachuca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 1-0 Monterrey
Thursday, August 31 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 0-2 Atletico San Luis
Tuesday, August 29 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 41%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawPachuca
35.86% (1.794 1.79) 23.13% (-0.563 -0.56) 41% (-1.233 -1.23)
Both teams to score 64.6% (2.57 2.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.27% (3.177 3.18)36.73% (-3.178 -3.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.11% (3.374 3.37)58.89% (-3.374 -3.37)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (2.408 2.41)20.81% (-2.407 -2.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.53% (3.645 3.65)53.47% (-3.646 -3.65)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (0.788 0.79)18.43% (-0.789 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.41% (1.319 1.32)49.59% (-1.318 -1.32)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 35.86%
    Pachuca 41.01%
    Draw 23.14%
TolucaDrawPachuca
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.144 0.14)
1-0 @ 6.02% (-0.496 -0.5)
2-0 @ 4.72% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.362 0.36)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.386 0.39)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.156 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.247 0.25)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.238 0.24)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.125 0.13)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.86%
1-1 @ 10.18% (-0.56 -0.56)
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.287 0.29)
0-0 @ 3.83% (-0.627 -0.63)
3-3 @ 1.99% (0.262 0.26)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.14%
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.873 -0.87)
0-2 @ 5.48% (-0.584 -0.58)
1-3 @ 4.85% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.252 0.25)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.245 -0.25)
1-4 @ 2.05% (0.044 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.144 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 41.01%

Head to Head
Feb 20, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 8
Pachuca
1-2
Toluca
Lopez (79')
Lopez (11'), Sanvezzo (90+2')
Oct 31, 2022 1.36am
Pachuca
3-1
Toluca
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (45+3'), Ibanez (51'), Cabral (75' pen.)
Lopez (21')
Oct 28, 2022 2.06am
Toluca
1-5
Pachuca
Sierra (78')
Ibarra (8', 36'), Cabral (13'), Isais (41'), Ibanez (53')
Aug 28, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 11
Toluca
1-4
Pachuca
Meneses (63')
Angulo (21'), Ortega (29'), Meneses (74'), Saucedo (74'), Sanvezzo (90+7')
Saucedo (90+10')
Hernandez (15', 24'), De la Fuente (73'), Ibanez (90+2')
Hernandez (24'), Murillo (59'), de la Fuente (66'), Chavez (67')
Mar 13, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Toluca
0-3
Pachuca

Castaneda (75')
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (12'), Ibanez (70'), Moreno (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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