Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.