Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.