Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Apr 24, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca2 - 4Atlas
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atlas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Club Leon 4-4 Toluca
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: Necaxa vs. Toluca
Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Tigres | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Atlas
Monday, May 30 at 2.10am in Liga MX
Monday, May 30 at 2.10am in Liga MX
Next Game: America vs. Atlas
Sunday, July 3 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, July 3 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atlas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Atletico San Luis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | CD Guadalajara | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.
Result | ||
Toluca | Draw | Atlas |
30% | 26.77% | 43.23% |
Both teams to score 50.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.29% | 54.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.97% | 76.03% |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.87% | 33.14% |