Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.